Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Alyssa Reguer Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Lekomtseva has a slight edge in second serve points recently, winning 38.65% compared to Reguer's 37.54%. Could this small advantage make a difference in the match? Potentially, given the correlation with match outcomes.
• In terms of return games, Lekomtseva is also ahead, capturing 56.89% of second serve returns as opposed to Reguer's 53.59%. Additionally, Lekomtseva excels in first serve returns, winning 34.64% compared to Reguer's 30.92%.
• Under pressure, Reguer is more resilient, saving 49.4% of breakpoints, while Lekomtseva saves 42.21%.
• When looking at overall performance, Lekomtseva has won 52% of her matches over the past year, slightly outperforming Reguer, who has won 48.44%.
• Both players show their best career win percentages on Hard courts, with Lekomtseva at 51% and Reguer at 47%. Is this slight edge indicative of their potential match outcome on this surface?
• The quality of opponents faced by Lekomtseva is significantly higher, with an average rank of 113.26, compared to Reguer's 400.67, which may give Lekomtseva an experience advantage.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Lekomtseva has a better track record, winning 50%, while Reguer has secured only 44% of such sets.
• Lekomtseva is more efficient at breakpoint conversion, with a 48.59% rate, compared to Reguer's 37.91%, providing her with more opportunities to seize the match at critical junctures.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their recent form, Lekomtseva demonstrates consistent superiority in critical aspects, such as second serve points and return game proficiency. These competencies align well with statistical predictors of match success.

Reguer's strengths under pressure, shown through a higher breakpoint save percentage, are formidable but may not offset the consistent comparative advantages demonstrated by Lekomtseva, especially in breakpoint conversion and against higher-ranked opponents.

Given Lekomtseva's slight lead in several key metrics and her ability to perform against tougher competition, she appears to possess a favorable edge in this matchup. Thus, Lekomtseva is the more likely victor in the upcoming tennis match.